ShadowKernel
0xf0c4ad91fc89a1e53acdeb7b193edbdedaa44d9f
- Realised P&L
- $-716.43
- Volume
- $25.8k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $179.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.30at 0.042Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$47.10at 0.062Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?
- +$43.23at 0.051Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?
- +$36.80at 0.163Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$31.35at 0.215Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.31 | $16.12 |
| 09-30 21:08 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-30 21:08 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 09-28 18:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.08 |
| 09-28 03:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.80 |
| 09-27 22:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.90 |
| 09-27 20:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.072 | $3.38 |
| 09-27 16:44 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-27 11:23 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.067 | $3.35 |
| 09-26 15:20 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-26 12:16 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-26 09:08 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-26 02:26 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |