PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ShadowKernel

0xf0c4ad91fc89a1e53acdeb7b193edbdedaa44d9f

Realised P&L
$-716.43
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
275
Open portfolio
$179.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded275
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9350.955$97.49+$1.99
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9670.926$46.34−$2.01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes0.3100.335$17.42+$1.30
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2270.175$8.75−$2.58
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0430.048$4.75+$0.40
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0670.073$3.67+$0.33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0210.013$0.67−$0.37
Ethereum Up or Down on September 9? · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$2.96
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$3.01
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0400.000$0.00−$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.72
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$2.79
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 10? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:18Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.31$16.12
09-30 21:08Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.24$12.00
09-30 21:08Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.24$12.00
09-28 18:22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.028$0.08
09-28 03:44Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.03$1.50
09-28 03:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.031$1.55
09-28 02:39Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.036$1.80
09-27 22:35Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.058$2.90
09-27 20:30Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.072$3.38
09-27 16:44Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.59$29.50
09-27 11:23Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.067$3.35
09-26 15:20Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.22$11.00
09-26 12:16Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.23$11.50
09-26 09:08Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.23$11.50
09-26 02:26Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.58$29.00
Trader ShadowKernel · PolyBot Pro