r45r45
0xf0bb2bf4e792466279eed7ec0b8a9c97b22c049f
- Realised P&L
- $-656.98
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 2,234
- Open portfolio
- $62.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,234
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $62.10 | −$34.50 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.003 | $0.24 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$200.00at 0.420Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekic
- +$120.00at 0.370Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
- +$90.64at 0.320Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner
- +$57.98at 0.233BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Simona Waltert vs Himeno Sakatsume
- +$53.28at 0.313North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 14:39 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $96.60 |
| 04-06 21:24 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $59.43 |
| 04-06 21:24 | Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $255.17 |
| 04-06 21:19 | 76ers vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 04-06 14:11 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.38 | $57.38 |
| 04-06 14:07 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 04-06 14:07 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machac | SELL | 0.24 | $187.60 |
| 04-06 14:06 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.41 | $6.45 |
| 04-06 14:05 | Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniel Altmaier vs Tomas Machac | SELL | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 04-06 14:04 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.4021550331 | $186.61 |
| 04-06 14:04 | Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekic | SELL | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 04-04 15:55 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $153.11 |
| 04-04 15:54 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $42.93 |
| 04-04 15:52 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $18.68 |
| 04-04 15:52 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $423.34 |