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Traders

Trismegistos

0xf0b11d09c9e1f783fca23bd5d2f7c1523ae590f6

Realised P&L
$-270.36
Volume
$25.1k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$16.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1100.048$9.52$12.48
Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1110.033$6.56$15.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.8290.000$0.00$3.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.0310.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? · 150k0.1790.000$0.00$0.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2850.000$0.00$2.26
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$221.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.1600.000$0.00$4.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$0.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-27 20:41US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.17$221.00
02-02 20:48Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.878$4.65
02-02 20:48Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5$2.38
02-02 20:48Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$0.66
02-02 20:48Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.944$4.99
02-02 20:48Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.949$5.02
02-02 20:48Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.953$5.01
02-02 20:47Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.95$5.00
02-02 20:47Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.965$5.08
02-02 20:47Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?SELL0.957$5.03
02-02 20:47Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.974$5.12
01-15 01:25Obama federally charged before 2027?BUY0.1097871885$22.00
01-15 01:24Obama arrested before 2027?BUY0.1106302194$22.00
01-12 16:45Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.49$1.37
01-12 16:45Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$0.90