Belmondo
0xf0aa4fd0b6b171404ff1c862e300a0f472243984
- Realised P&L
- $-133.04
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $92.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.00at 0.250Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$24.27at 0.110Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
- +$23.12at 0.705Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$23.09at 0.758Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 09:58 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.185 | $7.40 |
| 10-13 10:28 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1776409264 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 10:24 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1615969554 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:18 | Will Club Kid win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0608342813 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:37 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 15:34 | Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 15:26 | Will The Invite win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 15:18 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 15:10 | Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.48 |
| 10-03 15:08 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0199823 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 14:58 | Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0948376689 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:33 | Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:52 | Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 11:43 | Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:19 | Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0749999991 | $4.00 |