PolyBot

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Traders

Belmondo

0xf0aa4fd0b6b171404ff1c862e300a0f472243984

Realised P&L
$-133.04
Volume
$7.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$92.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1840.220$41.77+$6.77
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1850.252$10.06+$2.66
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1700.165$9.71−$0.29
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1300.225$8.65+$3.65
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.1700.255$7.50+$2.50
Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0750.110$5.84+$1.84
Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1290.031$4.82−$15.18
Will Club Kid win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0610.097$1.59+$0.59
Will The Invite win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0500.032$1.28−$0.72
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1200.023$0.96−$4.04
Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0280.011$0.57−$0.82
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$8.70
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 09:58Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.185$7.40
10-13 10:28Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1776409264$10.00
10-13 10:24Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1615969554$5.00
10-13 10:18Will Club Kid win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0608342813$1.00
10-03 15:37Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.2$10.00
10-03 15:34Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
10-03 15:26Will The Invite win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.05$2.00
10-03 15:18Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-03 15:10Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.028$0.48
10-03 15:08Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?SELL0.0199823$4.00
10-03 14:58Will Once Upon a Time in Harlem win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0948376689$10.00
09-23 10:33Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.119999999$5.00
09-19 11:52Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
09-19 11:43Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
09-19 11:19Will Werwulf win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0749999991$4.00