Belmondo
0xf0aa4fd0b6b171404ff1c862e300a0f472243984
- Realised P&L
- $-125.35
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $106.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.00at 0.250Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$24.27at 0.110Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?
- +$23.12at 0.705Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.66at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$2.04at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 11:46 | Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.752952505 | $72.01 |
| 04-06 15:53 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 21:23 | Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 21:22 | Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 18:19 | Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.043968588 | $7.00 |
| 03-10 16:41 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0474066897 | $15.00 |
| 03-03 13:05 | Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0879999821 | $4.25 |
| 03-02 20:25 | Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0130315949 | $3.61 |
| 02-14 15:03 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |
| 02-14 09:35 | Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 18:10 | Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.0220447883 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 20:01 | Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m? | BUY | 0.0872551898 | $7.00 |
| 01-27 14:37 | Will "I Swear" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.0327457139 | $2.00 |
| 01-25 12:25 | Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 01-25 12:11 | Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |