PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Belmondo

0xf0aa4fd0b6b171404ff1c862e300a0f472243984

Realised P&L
$-125.35
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$106.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-18 11:46Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?BUY0.752952505$72.01
04-06 15:53Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.16$20.00
03-15 21:23Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0479999912$5.00
03-15 21:22Will Zootopia 2 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.04$5.00
03-15 18:19Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.043968588$7.00
03-10 16:41Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0474066897$15.00
03-03 13:05Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0879999821$4.25
03-02 20:25Will Hamnet win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.0130315949$3.61
02-14 15:03Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.2$15.00
02-14 09:35Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
02-13 18:10Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.0220447883$2.00
01-27 20:01Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?BUY0.0872551898$7.00
01-27 14:37Will "I Swear" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?BUY0.0327457139$2.00
01-25 12:25Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
01-25 12:11Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1199999808$5.00