cactuszero
0xf09961b288647799928bc5d252d3cedfa816c6d1
- Realised P&L
- $-156.16
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,774
- Open portfolio
- $80.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,774
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.63at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 26?
- +$25.46at 0.283Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$11.57at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 30?
- +$6.57at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on September 13?
- +$5.76at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.51 |
| 09-17 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 18:37 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |
| 09-17 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.9714285714 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 09-17 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 09-17 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.86 |
| 09-17 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.92 |
| 09-17 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9628571429 | $6.74 |
| 09-17 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.58 |
| 09-17 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.79 |
| 09-17 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.65 |