PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MainMan1

0xf0974150094b97e72c9e85ed93a1541fa64259a4

Realised P&L
$-114.23
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$6.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3000.037$6.25$43.75
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 23? · No0.7440.000$0.00$3.76
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$16.12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$16.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22? · No0.5980.000$0.00$8.91
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22? · No0.7090.000$0.00$47.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 20:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.001$0.15
04-24 06:15Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 24?SELL0.999$4.99
04-24 06:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on April 24?BUY0.989$9.99
04-24 05:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 24?BUY0.961$4.96
04-24 05:02Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on April 24?BUY0.99$4.99
04-24 04:55Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 24?SELL0.907848249$4.67
04-24 04:55Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 24?SELL0.9367938931$4.91
04-24 04:14Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 24?BUY0.987$4.99
04-24 04:02Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 24?BUY0.988$4.99
04-24 04:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 24?BUY0.987$4.99
04-24 03:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 24?BUY0.979$4.98
04-24 01:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 24?BUY0.99$4.99
04-24 01:18Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 24?BUY0.977$4.98
04-23 23:03Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 24?BUY0.95$4.97
04-23 23:03Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 24?BUY0.97$4.98