0xf0927784e2275699276e38f6e88df345543722db
0xf0927784e2275699276e38f6e88df345543722db
- Realised P&L
- $-5.00
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $11.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.018 | $5.51 | −$21.89 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.011 | $3.54 | −$8.46 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.029 | $2.34 | −$10.81 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 09:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.038999997 | $12.00 |
| 03-15 09:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.15 |
| 03-15 09:28 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | BUY | 0.0895294773 | $27.40 |
| 03-11 14:47 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |