z3x-cz
0xf0918abb1f94be0550e0394e50c6b6b909e6ab77
- Realised P&L
- $-70.86
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $12.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.360 | $3.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.175 | $3.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.315 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 1? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.090 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.392Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1?
- +$0.07at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 30?
- +$-3.50at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 30?
- +$-3.75at 0.123Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.59 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999952 | $1.63 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999954 | $1.83 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999949 | $2.24 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 10-01 07:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999843 | $2.85 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999886 | $2.85 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999706 | $3.77 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999907 | $3.97 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 07:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.08 |