99saa
0xf0911883ec1ae0c2c47f66044730b9332fa662ed
- Realised P&L
- $516.40
- Volume
- $81.8k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $95.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $19.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $19.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $19.91 | −$0.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $9.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $9.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $9.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $5.94 | −$0.02 |
| Mikito Nakano vs Raesse Aleem Nov 24, 2025 · Nakano | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.89 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$600.00at 0.500Wild vs. Devils
- +$1.20at 0.940Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
- +$0.40at 0.992Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?
- +$0.34at 0.933Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.26at 0.975Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-05 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.96 |
| 08-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-05 13:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-24 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-24 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-24 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-24 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on July 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 07-24 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 07-04 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-04 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |