Seiler
0xf08ea2cc9264be0f5717aa9b2d4bf3790dd6f10e
- Realised P&L
- $2.02
- Volume
- $245.90
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $29.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.640 | 0.570 | $11.57 | −$1.43 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.885 | $10.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.725 | $7.23 | −$0.85 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.44 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.76at 0.710Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?
- +$9.12at 0.361Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$8.91at 0.630Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$7.03at 0.592Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$3.60at 0.532Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 00:46 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.809999995 | $8.08 |
| 09-27 01:56 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 01:52 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 01:10 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.00 |
| 09-18 00:56 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:56 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 21:22 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.81 |
| 09-14 02:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6999999941 | $23.69 |
| 09-13 04:28 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599999891 | $8.44 |
| 09-09 21:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6699999942 | $5.76 |
| 09-09 21:20 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.6229999883 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 03:03 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 02:57 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 02:54 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |