PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Seiler

0xf08ea2cc9264be0f5717aa9b2d4bf3790dd6f10e

Realised P&L
$2.02
Volume
$245.90
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$29.34

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6400.570$11.57−$1.43
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8400.885$10.54+$0.54
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.8100.725$7.23−$0.85
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$8.44
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$10.00
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 00:46Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.809999995$8.08
09-27 01:56Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5199999792$4.00
09-27 01:52NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
09-18 01:10Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.64$13.00
09-18 00:56Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-18 00:56Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6899999995$15.00
09-15 21:22Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$33.81
09-14 02:54Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.6999999941$23.69
09-13 04:28Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6599999891$8.44
09-09 21:54Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6699999942$5.76
09-09 21:20Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.6229999883$15.00
09-09 03:03Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
09-09 02:57Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-09 02:54Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.5799999768$10.00