0xf08e68c521ae516229c455f2f67f105b5615682c
0xf08e68c521ae516229c455f2f67f105b5615682c
- Realised P&L
- $-26.36
- Volume
- $842.88
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.042 | $3.81 | −$68.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.76at 0.585Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$15.45at 0.401England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$6.98at 0.595Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.11at 0.805Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.66at 0.455Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 13:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September? | BUY | 0.7899999989 | $72.61 |
| 09-21 17:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $75.22 |
| 09-19 20:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999985 | $68.95 |
| 09-15 22:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $72.04 |
| 07-30 13:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $47.20 |
| 07-29 07:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7929999957 | $24.85 |
| 07-15 18:58 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4399999952 | $36.68 |
| 07-15 18:56 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3874999855 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:28 | France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:18 | France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:17 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:12 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3699999885 | $19.99 |