hkjcsuck
0xf08b77fa76e53a270aebc339fb14d2e89f447c5e
- Realised P&L
- $-91.50
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $31.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.80at 0.164Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$6.97at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$4.92at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$3.48at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
- +$2.84at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1497163577 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.03066544 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0334168755 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0358643878 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.22 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.34 | $3.95 |
| 09-16 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-16 17:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 09-16 17:33 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:10 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8899998724 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999556 | $1.73 |