0xF083b5BbB16FAF8D1d6FCCcE1B4C361F212d077c-1773337808905
0xf083b5bbb16faf8d1d6fccce1b4c361f212d077c
- Realised P&L
- $-32.45
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $10.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · No | 0.860 | 1.000 | $5.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No | 0.773 | 1.000 | $4.54 | +$1.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-19 House seat? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.019 | $0.24 | −$0.76 |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan · Bangladesh | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Up | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev · Jack Draper | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? · No | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.799US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-0.09at 0.370Suns vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 23:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 03-29 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $1.96 |
| 03-13 18:25 | Suns vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.35 | $1.24 |
| 03-13 16:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.7599994143 | $1.09 |
| 03-13 16:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | BUY | 0.339999884 | $1.29 |
| 03-13 16:10 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.54 |
| 03-13 16:10 | ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | SELL | 0.029 | $0.74 |
| 03-13 16:00 | Suns vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.3699998859 | $1.33 |
| 03-13 15:58 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.0258703435 | $1.78 |
| 03-13 15:57 | Iran leadership change by March 13? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.26 |
| 03-13 15:57 | ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan | BUY | 0.1 | $2.79 |
| 03-13 13:59 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | SELL | 0.0245783887 | $4.24 |
| 03-13 13:41 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.029 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 13:26 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.0286716988 | $1.31 |
| 03-13 13:25 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | SELL | 0.0250825037 | $4.56 |