glebi
0xf0805b66d9f62ccdfac5d2c7249d3f4267b306e3
- Realised P&L
- $305.47
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $437.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.978 | $434.44 | +$34.44 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $2.92 | −$2.08 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.20at 0.810Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$56.88at 0.972Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?
- +$51.65at 0.610Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$41.25at 0.800Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$39.66at 0.820Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $400.00 |
| 08-03 21:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | SELL | 0.86 | $223.38 |
| 08-03 17:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.997 | $36.92 |
| 08-03 16:35 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 14:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.3801008101 | $21.11 |
| 08-03 11:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 11:19 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 13:44 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.85 |
| 08-02 09:08 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.91 | $341.25 |
| 08-01 22:27 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 08:38 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 07:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $74.91 |