ethereth
0xf07a9b272a1f894f6a4b98be31795c3220423299
- Realised P&L
- $480.25
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $3.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.185 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.170 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? · No | 0.084 | 0.058 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.079 | $0.40 | −$0.10 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.032 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.006 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? · No | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$393.50at 0.085Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
- +$175.05at 0.110Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
- +$84.28at 0.038Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
- +$21.37at 0.034Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$11.12at 0.060Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.360999883 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:01 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.168 | $0.87 |
| 09-28 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.0269999993 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:34 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2029459184 | $1.99 |