MichaelFrank6014
0xf06d5a89f5a3315f4aed87d892d85d6b067fdb77
- Realised P&L
- $792.86
- Volume
- $147.2k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$745.56at 0.230Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$448.00at 0.500Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?
- +$377.62at 0.300Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$215.93at 0.350Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
- +$203.36at 0.280Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 17:39 | Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | SELL | 0.32 | $70.72 |
| 04-11 17:38 | Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | SELL | 0.32 | $244.48 |
| 04-11 07:31 | Weed rescheduled by June 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $695.24 |
| 04-10 21:56 | Weed rescheduled by June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $611.20 |
| 04-10 20:27 | Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | BUY | 0.34 | $334.90 |
| 04-09 23:04 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $24.08 |
| 04-09 23:00 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $420.21 |
| 04-09 11:05 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $64.82 |
| 04-08 21:05 | Revolut IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $434.35 |
| 04-07 21:08 | Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $120.38 |
| 03-21 16:57 | Will Trump post "Hillary" or "Clinton" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.87 | $47.85 |
| 03-20 19:07 | Will Trump post "Hillary" or "Clinton" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.73 | $40.15 |
| 03-18 14:51 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $40.32 |
| 03-16 20:33 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $41.76 |
| 03-13 04:05 | TJR mentee Timmeh earns prop payout in 30 days? | SELL | 0.17 | $15.13 |