PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EsliEs

0xf06b66751f8e639475704243a991bbe14072f629

Realised P&L
$-553.96
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
517
Open portfolio
$10.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded517
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? · Yes0.6900.435$8.70−$5.10
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? · Yes0.0800.065$1.95−$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$5.00
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner · T10.6100.000$0.00−$9.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 08:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?SELL0.42$6.30
10-13 07:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?SELL0.48$2.40
10-05 13:35Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.08$4.80
09-12 09:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-09 17:23Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 10?SELL0.13801$5.52
09-09 17:23Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10?SELL0.16$6.40
09-07 12:45Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?BUY0.25$3.00
09-04 08:50Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?SELL0.995$39.80
09-03 17:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?BUY0.55$13.75
09-03 12:22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 4?BUY0.41$6.15
09-03 12:22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 4?BUY0.45$6.75
08-28 16:12Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.109$1.09
08-27 11:46Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.203$4.06
08-27 11:45Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.205$1.02
08-26 18:24Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.292$5.84