PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf06a9018b9a7fb942903314725673cb25c46c80d

Realised P&L
$-15.48
Volume
$734.00
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$21.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7600.905$7.24+$1.16
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9640.971$5.83+$0.04
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1130.065$1.75$1.30
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1400.075$1.57$1.36
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.165$1.49+$0.04
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.064$1.02$5.86
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1600.085$0.77$0.67
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1500.055$0.71$1.24
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2400.095$0.67$1.01
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.1040.000$0.00$3.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 07:27Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.055$1.21
07-04 15:06Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.964$5.78
06-24 04:06Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.15$1.95
06-21 14:26Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.1$1.80
06-15 18:35Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.065$1.30
06-13 04:50Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.44
06-08 09:42Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.14$2.94
06-04 04:21Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.24$1.68
06-01 19:32Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.76$6.08
06-01 19:32Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.076$1.44
05-26 04:04Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.67$3.35
04-22 04:14Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
04-22 04:14Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.2$1.00
04-22 04:14Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?BUY0.054$1.08
04-22 04:14Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$1.05