0xf0615cd814e5fedf8b74cfb875855ed794f16ce7
0xf0615cd814e5fedf8b74cfb875855ed794f16ce7
- Realised P&L
- $4.01
- Volume
- $230.27
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $6.88
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.700 | 1.000 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? · No | 0.360 | 0.405 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.695 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.515 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.695 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.290 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.235 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.074 | $0.15 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.10at 0.329S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.00at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:28 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 20:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 12:24 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 04:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:24 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:00 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:15 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:04 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 13:02 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 01:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 17:09 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 09:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:23 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |