0xf05ffba4d57437f079baebb9a00d2c49a14ca8c4
0xf05ffba4d57437f079baebb9a00d2c49a14ca8c4
- Realised P&L
- $-18.25
- Volume
- $153.57
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.075 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.76at 0.570Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in August?
- +$1.48at 0.612Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.43at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.37at 0.629Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 00:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:26 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:36 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999621 | $2.29 |
| 08-31 21:28 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 08-31 21:28 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999945 | $2.29 |
| 08-24 08:34 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999293 | $2.29 |
| 08-24 00:28 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999266 | $2.29 |
| 08-23 10:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5949999714 | $2.29 |
| 08-21 14:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2599999251 | $2.29 |
| 08-20 04:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |
| 08-19 05:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 19? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 08-18 19:34 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |