0xF05fE753E8330dc0FC575fC2fcd0c289e294eD10-1771041364850
0xf05fe753e8330dc0fc575fc2fcd0c289e294ed10
- Realised P&L
- $57.39
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $577.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.09at 0.032US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$115.00at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$89.54at 0.104Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$79.33at 0.150US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$73.25at 0.274Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1309999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 14:33 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0879999999 | $8.00 |
| 10-29 05:01 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.0759999993 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 04:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1539999982 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 16:12 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 16:07 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 15:59 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 15:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1689489791 | $16.00 |
| 10-28 15:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.1719999988 | $17.00 |
| 10-28 15:12 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1067608554 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 06:05 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $8.00 |
| 10-28 06:04 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999962 | $8.00 |
| 10-28 06:04 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999981 | $8.00 |
| 10-28 06:03 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 10-28 06:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |