kkpay19888
0xf059aff5075d2bb73405d9fe301f8ae20ed46dd9
- Realised P&L
- $-78.5k
- Volume
- $5.03M
- Markets traded
- 1,407
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,407
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Belarus (-2.5) · San Marino | 0.512 | 0.770 | $3.2k | +$1.1k |
| Spread: Russia (-2.5) · Namibia | 0.520 | 0.540 | $1.6k | +$59.97 |
| Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Spread: Thunder (-14.5) · Thunder | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.3k |
| Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-12? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-22? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-02-22? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
| Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-02-21? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-03-29? · No | 0.468 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.3k |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-29? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.0kat 0.471Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
- +$10.6kat 0.520Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?
- +$10.0kat 0.500Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
- +$9.9kat 0.430Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
- +$9.9kat 0.550Spread: Magic (-8.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:06 | Spread: Belarus (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $37.10 |
| 10-02 17:23 | Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $132.00 |
| 10-02 12:52 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $108.42 |
| 10-02 12:49 | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.49 | $10.52 |
| 10-01 22:07 | Nicaragua vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.55 | $608.85 |
| 10-01 17:38 | Israel vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $4.72 |
| 10-01 17:29 | Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $0.02 |
| 09-29 19:36 | Deportivo Pereira vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $999.21 |
| 09-29 17:26 | San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.77 | $610.23 |
| 09-29 17:17 | San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.77 | $224.87 |
| 09-29 17:14 | San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.77 | $120.12 |
| 09-27 02:50 | Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26? | SELL | 0.33 | $990.00 |
| 09-26 17:16 | FC Volendam vs. VVV Venlo: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $0.50 |
| 09-26 17:15 | FC Volendam vs. VVV Venlo: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $101.47 |
| 09-26 15:36 | Iceland vs. Estonia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $35.20 |