0xf057cC2673516Ff0B19573a76Ac6d63a0854a931-1768254596006
0xf057cc2673516ff0b19573a76ac6d63a0854a931
- Realised P&L
- $-77.06
- Volume
- $67.4k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $68.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$355.72at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$168.49at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$163.67at 0.018Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$132.35at 0.437Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$92.40at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 14:35 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 14:33 | Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kalinina/Yastremska vs Danilina/Krunic | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 17:22 | Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | BUY | 0.249 | $1.31 |
| 05-21 20:42 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0268342015 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.84 |
| 05-18 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.159 | $39.75 |
| 05-18 10:29 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.070999987 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:28 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1454769989 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 08:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 08:06 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1509245252 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 08:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $46.20 |
| 05-18 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $12.50 |
| 05-18 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $3.75 |
| 05-18 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 05-18 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2029999869 | $10.00 |