PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf057cC2673516Ff0B19573a76Ac6d63a0854a931-1768254596006

0xf057cc2673516ff0b19573a76ac6d63a0854a931

Realised P&L
$-77.06
Volume
$67.4k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$68.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0410.064$15.49+$5.49
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0220.033$14.77+$4.77
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.054$13.97+$3.97
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2770.115$8.31$11.69
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2170.162$7.44$2.56
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.004$3.46$6.54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.2400.065$1.35$3.65
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$1.23$1.77
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.1100.023$1.05$3.95
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0050.003$0.50$0.50
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0050.003$0.50$0.50
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0080.003$0.32$0.68
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0090.003$0.28$0.72
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0200.002$0.10$0.90
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 14:35Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?BUY0.25$10.00
05-31 14:33Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kalinina/Yastremska vs Danilina/KrunicBUY0.1$10.00
05-23 17:22Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.249$1.31
05-21 20:42Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0268342015$5.00
05-20 14:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.023$1.84
05-18 10:29Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.159$39.75
05-18 10:29Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.070999987$5.00
05-18 10:28Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.1454769989$10.00
05-18 08:09Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.9679999985$10.00
05-18 08:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.1509245252$10.00
05-18 08:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.14$46.20
05-18 08:02Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.05$12.50
05-18 08:02Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.015$3.75
05-18 08:02Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.001$0.33
05-18 08:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.2029999869$10.00