d4d5
0xf0558d650871f4149e83ce51e811770e35cf2015
- Realised P&L
- $-193.94
- Volume
- $91.8k
- Markets traded
- 612
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded612
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.67at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$51.01at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$50.31at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
- +$48.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$43.28at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $4.29 |
| 08-27 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999265 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.02 |
| 07-20 15:50 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.34 |
| 07-18 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on July 18? | SELL | 0.0101081315 | $0.93 |
| 07-18 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.06 |
| 07-18 06:17 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 07-18 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.0107317073 | $0.22 |
| 07-18 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 07-17 19:02 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.193 | $0.06 |
| 07-15 06:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 16? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.13 |
| 07-10 12:55 | Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 07-10 12:27 | Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.78 |
| 07-07 14:16 | Will Marni Sawicki win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 07-07 14:05 | Will Tom Nelson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.37 |