Mikeghtmare
0xf0543b214235baa7d370e1d0d4de5de79494e912
- Realised P&L
- $-207.71
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.68 |
| Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América end in a draw? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Norway | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) · United States | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) · Brazil | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) · Arsenal FC | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) · Netherlands | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) · Newcastle United FC | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Spain | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.88at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$70.77at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$55.98at 0.697Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$33.17at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$29.84at 0.229Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:11 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.082 | $2.96 |
| 09-20 15:41 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:39 | Real Madrid CF to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:34 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 15:33 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 14:46 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.8447014575 | $17.97 |
| 09-20 14:44 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1209302292 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:00 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 12:59 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 12:58 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 12:58 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 05:17 | CF América vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.14 | $1.75 |
| 09-20 05:02 | Will CF América vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? | SELL | 0.45 | $8.18 |
| 09-20 04:20 | Will CF América vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |