PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HEOS

0xf04ea0647ed574f74678e620b1e5e950e2ec22de

Realised P&L
$-362.23
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$402.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.4830.385$285.64$73.14
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.2400.198$116.94$25.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-05 17:17Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.4835801836$358.78
06-05 17:16Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.2398231389$142.00
06-05 16:53Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.92$368.00
04-20 19:55Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.041$14.35
04-19 22:33Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8453391889$316.64
04-12 19:41Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?BUY0.91$178.67
04-12 19:19Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?BUY0.9187762265$248.38
03-14 20:44Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.51$178.50
02-28 21:02Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.994$606.79
02-28 20:20Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.9631198628$581.19
01-25 20:31Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.032$25.60
01-23 17:30US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999989$168.26
01-23 17:21US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.25$168.27
01-23 17:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.06$59.79
01-23 17:17Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2899999992$175.00