PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HEOS

0xf04ea0647ed574f74678e620b1e5e950e2ec22de

Realised P&L
$-8.94
Volume
$19.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.4820.535$782.88+$76.85
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.7930.785$598.83$5.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 20:21Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.4899999995$227.03
08-31 17:56Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.8$231.58
08-31 17:00Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.79$117.93
08-31 16:59Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.78$57.78
08-31 14:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.48$9.60
08-31 11:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.49$24.50
08-31 11:09Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.48$374.40
08-30 21:07Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.47$70.50
08-30 21:04Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.79$197.50
08-30 14:40Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.84$159.50
08-30 09:44Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.095$56.25
08-30 09:43Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.85$425.00
06-05 17:17Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.4835801836$358.78
06-05 17:16Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.2398231389$142.00
06-05 16:53Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.92$368.00