HEOS
0xf04ea0647ed574f74678e620b1e5e950e2ec22de
- Realised P&L
- $-8.94
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.482 | 0.535 | $782.88 | +$76.85 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.793 | 0.785 | $598.83 | −$5.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$406.19at 0.290Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$269.68at 0.711Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
- +$258.97at 0.493Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- +$83.34at 0.791Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
- +$43.16at 0.945Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 20:21 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $227.03 |
| 08-31 17:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $231.58 |
| 08-31 17:00 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $117.93 |
| 08-31 16:59 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $57.78 |
| 08-31 14:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-31 11:11 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 08-31 11:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $374.40 |
| 08-30 21:07 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $70.50 |
| 08-30 21:04 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $197.50 |
| 08-30 14:40 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $159.50 |
| 08-30 09:44 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.095 | $56.25 |
| 08-30 09:43 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $425.00 |
| 06-05 17:17 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.4835801836 | $358.78 |
| 06-05 17:16 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.2398231389 | $142.00 |
| 06-05 16:53 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $368.00 |