Penator
0xf04d93143de2de7c39fd9454d34b5ca68b0b9f47
- Realised P&L
- $112.92
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $35.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.685 | $23.62 | +$3.62 |
| Will West Ham United be promoted to Premier League? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.350 | $8.97 | −$11.03 |
| Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.205 | $2.93 | −$2.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.57at 0.174Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$13.42at 0.693Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.66at 0.402Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Walton
- +$10.43at 0.660Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals
- +$10.28at 0.747Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 11:12 | Will West Ham United be promoted to Premier League? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 10-27 11:08 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4849999694 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 03:42 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.61 | $17.18 |
| 09-12 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:19 | Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 09:16 | Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:47 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $5.28 |
| 07-31 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8699998695 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4199999944 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $3.55 |
| 07-31 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 16:10 | Mubadala Citi DC Open (Doubles): Doumbia/Reboul vs Romboli/Smith | BUY | 0.7399999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 13:16 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7666783317 | $20.00 |