PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf040b3611787aaf4c8729210c8696731f990d11f

Realised P&L
$-333.17
Volume
$247.9k
Markets traded
5,858
Open portfolio
$13.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,858
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 10:50Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 15?BUY0.9122331857$45.30
09-14 20:53Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.943$94.30
09-13 20:47Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 13?SELL0.996$35.86
09-13 20:46Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 13?SELL0.995$16.25
09-13 20:45Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 13?BUY0.95$49.72
09-13 14:05Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.6$3.00
09-13 14:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.61$3.05
09-13 14:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.61$3.05
09-13 14:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.61$3.05
09-13 14:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.61$3.05
09-13 14:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.62$3.10
09-13 14:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 14?BUY0.62$3.10
09-13 12:35Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 13?BUY0.73$3.65
09-13 12:35Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 13?BUY0.73$3.65
09-13 12:35Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 13?BUY0.73$3.65