0xf038e075c8645636E69DC3c79d4378FE74bA29F6-1778589286577
0xf038e075c8645636e69dc3c79d4378fe74ba29f6
- Realised P&L
- $-68.92
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $0.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.84at 0.051Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
- +$4.15at 0.225LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
- +$3.86at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$2.82at 0.266Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
- +$2.64at 0.637LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 04:21 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.125 | $1.11 |
| 06-20 04:21 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.19 |
| 06-07 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $3.41 |
| 06-07 07:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 07:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.19 |
| 06-07 07:20 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1740056022 | $1.24 |
| 06-07 07:20 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.17 |
| 06-05 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $3.68 |
| 06-05 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 10:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 10:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 10:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $2.88 |
| 06-03 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 06:05 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |