PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BreakTheBank

0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c

Realised P&L
$10.62M
Volume
$356.90M
Markets traded
1,400
Open portfolio
$4.95M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,400
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ravens vs. Bills · Bills0.6190.895$554.5k+$171.0k
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.7100.895$406.9k+$84.1k
Raiders vs. Jets · Raiders0.4600.575$290.0k+$58.0k
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0310.695$278.0k+$265.7k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6700.715$270.4k+$17.0k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · No0.7090.765$250.2k+$18.4k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0680.055$202.3k−$48.2k
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6580.705$169.8k+$11.2k
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9310.963$166.1k+$5.4k
Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Browns0.4900.255$154.7k−$142.5k
Spread: Jets (-1.5) · Raiders0.4900.595$126.1k+$22.3k
Browns vs. Steelers · Browns0.3500.165$123.7k−$138.7k
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.4290.425$90.3k−$861.54
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0620.055$85.1k−$10.6k
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0060.102$79.9k+$74.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:15Raiders vs. JetsBUY0.47$229.01
11-01 17:56Ravens vs. BillsBUY0.62$70.2k
11-01 17:56Ravens vs. BillsBUY0.62$274.0k
11-01 16:01Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?SELL0.108$0.72
11-01 00:22Spread: Rockets (-3.5)BUY0.48$1.1k
11-01 00:22Spread: Rockets (-1.5)BUY0.56$973.72
11-01 00:21Spread: Rockets (-2.5)BUY0.53$478.49
11-01 00:21Spread: Rockets (-5.5)BUY0.42$73.67
11-01 00:11Spread: Rockets (-3.5)BUY0.47$17.3k
11-01 00:11Spread: Rockets (-1.5)BUY0.55$12.96
11-01 00:00Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.57$13.3k
10-31 23:53Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)BUY0.47$749.38
10-31 23:53Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)BUY0.51$2.6k
10-31 21:4876ers vs. HornetsBUY0.47$146.2k
10-31 21:4276ers vs. HornetsBUY0.46$103.9k