BreakTheBank
0xf0318c32136c2db7fec88b84869aee6a1106c80c
- Realised P&L
- $10.62M
- Volume
- $356.90M
- Markets traded
- 1,400
- Open portfolio
- $4.95M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,400
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.41Mat 0.335Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$1.29Mat 0.395Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.24Mat 0.535Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
- +$1.13Mat 0.233Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.09Mat 0.525Grizzlies vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:15 | Raiders vs. Jets | BUY | 0.47 | $229.01 |
| 11-01 17:56 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.62 | $70.2k |
| 11-01 17:56 | Ravens vs. Bills | BUY | 0.62 | $274.0k |
| 11-01 16:01 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | SELL | 0.108 | $0.72 |
| 11-01 00:22 | Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 00:22 | Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $973.72 |
| 11-01 00:21 | Spread: Rockets (-2.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $478.49 |
| 11-01 00:21 | Spread: Rockets (-5.5) | BUY | 0.42 | $73.67 |
| 11-01 00:11 | Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $17.3k |
| 11-01 00:11 | Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $12.96 |
| 11-01 00:00 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.57 | $13.3k |
| 10-31 23:53 | Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $749.38 |
| 10-31 23:53 | Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 21:48 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.47 | $146.2k |
| 10-31 21:42 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.46 | $103.9k |