meteorC
0xf03075875e09a399df5ca6ead4a25ce2652527bf
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $245.5k
- Markets traded
- 682
- Open portfolio
- $88.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded682
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.121 | $34.87 | +$22.14 |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.095 | $19.00 | +$3.00 |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No | 0.083 | 0.097 | $18.62 | +$2.75 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.050 | $4.95 | −$9.05 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.185 | $3.70 | −$10.10 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? · No | 0.090 | 0.017 | $2.91 | −$12.43 |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.025 | $2.50 | −$0.50 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3? · No | 0.020 | 0.037 | $1.71 | +$0.79 |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$11.90 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 2, 2026? · No | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in October 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.17at 0.009Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?
- +$313.29at 0.091Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$255.04at 0.120Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$254.65at 0.578Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$231.20at 0.183US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:51 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? | BUY | 0.0897076023 | $15.34 |
| 09-29 05:46 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.025 | $10.90 |
| 09-28 15:22 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-28 01:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 09-26 13:12 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-26 13:11 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25? | BUY | 0.069 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 12:20 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.50 |
| 09-20 07:57 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20? | SELL | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 09-14 03:50 | Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $12.15 |
| 09-07 23:57 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7? | SELL | 0.003869775 | $1.55 |
| 09-07 14:42 | Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-06 12:51 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6? | SELL | 0.009 | $2.25 |
| 09-02 06:34 | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.36 |
| 08-30 00:32 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $9.89 |
| 08-29 14:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $23.66 |