PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

meteorC

0xf03075875e09a399df5ca6ead4a25ce2652527bf

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$245.5k
Markets traded
682
Open portfolio
$88.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded682
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0440.121$34.87+$22.14
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.0800.095$19.00+$3.00
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No0.0830.097$18.62+$2.75
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1400.050$4.95−$9.05
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? · No0.6900.185$3.70−$10.10
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2? · No0.0900.017$2.91−$12.43
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in October 2026? · Yes0.0300.025$2.50−$0.50
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 3? · No0.0200.037$1.71+$0.79
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · No0.0600.001$0.10−$11.90
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 2, 2026? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$9.00
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in October 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 13:51Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?BUY0.0897076023$15.34
09-29 05:46Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.025$10.90
09-28 15:22Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
09-28 01:43Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 27, 2026?BUY0.33$9.90
09-26 13:12Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25?BUY0.06$0.30
09-26 13:11Israel military action against Lebanon on September 25?BUY0.069$1.04
09-22 12:20Will Israel election happen as scheduled?SELL0.05$0.50
09-20 07:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?SELL0.09$9.00
09-14 03:50Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?SELL0.27$12.15
09-07 23:57Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?SELL0.003869775$1.55
09-07 14:42Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.001$0.02
09-06 12:51Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?SELL0.009$2.25
09-02 06:34Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?SELL0.002$1.36
08-30 00:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?BUY0.13$9.89
08-29 14:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?BUY0.61$23.66