fieldsnicholas
0xf02da13976fa46c961bc811b9a600ee30d03196b
- Realised P&L
- $14.55
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $82.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Collaboration at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No | 0.520 | 1.000 | $25.72 | +$12.35 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 September 21-27? · No | 0.560 | 1.000 | $22.20 | +$9.77 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.997 | $20.93 | +$7.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 26? · No | 0.810 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$1.90 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.190 | $3.80 | −$8.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.41at 0.370Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$5.24at 0.660Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$5.09at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 22?
- +$2.78at 0.490Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$2.42at 0.702Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:22 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.68 |
| 01-30 17:16 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.28 |
| 01-30 15:10 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.42 |
| 01-30 12:48 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $68.28 |
| 12-30 10:59 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.77 |
| 12-30 01:21 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999702 | $14.86 |
| 12-29 22:54 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999611 | $24.32 |
| 12-29 22:37 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9899999921 | $27.52 |
| 12-29 20:36 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.46 |
| 10-30 19:41 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.37 |
| 10-30 17:53 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.68 |
| 09-29 18:11 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.65 |
| 09-29 15:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.83 |
| 09-29 05:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.97 |
| 09-29 05:09 | Will Solana reach $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.38 |