MollyParkets
0xf02105d60083d7d74d7e0f9785d79e06137cdf56
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $3.25M
- Markets traded
- 3,464
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,464
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.485Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.101Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.229Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.718Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.113Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:46 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.02602557 | $18.78 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.45 |
| 08-02 21:44 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $33.51 |
| 08-02 08:37 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.65274 | $228.46 |
| 08-02 07:05 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.6 | $66.00 |
| 08-02 04:32 | Will "Liberation" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.9895677302 | $87.15 |
| 08-02 04:32 | Will "Border" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.9896704632 | $65.17 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Bay FC vs. Seattle Reign FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-02 02:15 | Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.9805269259 | $93.04 |
| 08-02 01:09 | Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: Charlotte FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-02 01:02 | Bay FC vs. Seattle Reign FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $6.86 |
| 08-02 00:45 | Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC: Minnesota United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-01 19:29 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $7.29 |
| 08-01 19:21 | Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? | SELL | 0.95 | $96.52 |