0xD6eB7E321DFffF532412Ed60032bfECF901B354a-1762502749324
0xf02037d79f9d709ecd6b5cd56c799217539d0c11
- Realised P&L
- $838.00
- Volume
- $33.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $165.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.580 | 0.395 | $136.21 | −$63.79 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.295 | $29.50 | −$19.50 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.75 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles · Lotte Giants | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.75 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.42at 0.746Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$405.35at 0.747Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$370.50at 0.480Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$366.94at 0.586Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$333.85at 0.410Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 07:10 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 12:44 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.5572139295 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 11:39 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.6652308436 | $110.08 |
| 07-26 01:08 | Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.58 | $14.50 |
| 07-21 01:47 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.5910941809 | $60.00 |
| 07-20 14:44 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.5994005982 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 10:36 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.7492881762 | $400.00 |
| 07-19 22:55 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $120.00 |
| 07-19 13:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999993 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 18:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5839999985 | $370.00 |
| 07-15 17:05 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.54 | $628.00 |
| 07-14 23:26 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999992 | $56.00 |
| 07-14 23:20 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $700.00 |
| 07-14 23:11 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999995 | $500.00 |
| 07-14 10:56 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999995 | $500.00 |