0xD6eB7E321DFffF532412Ed60032bfECF901B354a-1762502749324
0xf02037d79f9d709ecd6b5cd56c799217539d0c11
- Realised P&L
- $-101.43
- Volume
- $36.6k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $40.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.684 | 0.503 | $40.72 | −$14.65 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.608 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$270.75 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles · Lotte Giants | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$187.75 |
| Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.614 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$173.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | 0.636 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.67 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$395.72at 0.754Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$390.20at 0.757Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$365.16at 0.487Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$356.18at 0.598Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$329.75at 0.417Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 04:46 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.69 | $26.15 |
| 10-16 03:22 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.68 | $25.16 |
| 10-15 10:03 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 10-15 04:06 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 10-04 10:58 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5899999773 | $7.03 |
| 10-03 19:38 | Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.68 | $4.89 |
| 10-03 19:35 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 08:48 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.637 | $73.82 |
| 10-03 08:45 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.634 | $15.85 |
| 10-03 08:41 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | SELL | 0.99 | $90.09 |
| 10-01 17:02 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 10-01 08:05 | Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.68 | $61.88 |
| 09-30 18:46 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-29 08:54 | Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.68 | $27.20 |
| 09-25 08:28 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.67 | $33.77 |