PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ballernundsaufen

0xf01d077f7047035b6e3d81204b54b184243e5700

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Phantom Blade Zero" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? · No0.6290.915$330.46+$103.33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · Yes0.6240.971$242.63+$86.53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? · Yes0.6010.915$121.17+$41.56
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? · No0.5460.948$119.65+$50.70
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.5740.960$65.21+$26.19
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 87.5% and 90%? · No0.4380.740$59.20+$24.20
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.7000.980$58.80+$16.80
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? · No0.6100.585$58.50−$2.50
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.2700.974$58.41+$42.21
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? · No0.8630.995$55.90+$7.42
Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? · Yes0.3300.895$53.70+$33.90
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026? · No0.7020.630$50.40−$5.80
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027? · No0.7620.885$44.28+$6.17
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? · No0.7800.950$38.00+$6.80
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? · No0.6370.615$36.90−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.