PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tzuyuuuu

0xf01b04f5063e58a3ac2ceb5f923369bd641da129

Realised P&L
$-10.34
Volume
$208.64
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No0.7000.840$1.20+$0.20
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.7490.771$1.03+$0.03
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.50
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch? · No0.5210.000$0.00$3.00
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.2910.000$0.00$5.49
Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.48
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.2800.000$0.00$1.50
Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00$3.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 07:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2699998956$1.50
07-16 07:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$3.94
07-06 16:02Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.06$0.55
06-16 05:25Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1079999067$1.00
06-16 05:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1759998606$1.00
06-16 05:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1469998765$1.00
05-27 01:03Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?BUY0.7$1.00
05-27 00:56Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.7489993349$1.00
05-09 04:10Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8789999229$10.00
05-09 04:07Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.121$0.64
04-23 08:24Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-23 08:23Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
04-23 08:22Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.28$2.37
04-23 08:22Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.075$0.38
04-15 23:22Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.863999982$5.00