PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf019Ba59648F65bF85ACe387Da55264fCEAe6ba3-1769278794771

0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3

Realised P&L
$369.50
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$854.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.4050.540$598.55+$149.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0800.295$80.74+$58.85
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5000.875$78.42+$33.59
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3200.285$28.50$3.50
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.2170.090$28.13$39.75
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.1400.175$17.50+$3.50
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1540.045$16.65$40.35
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.064$3.17$5.83
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0970.038$1.73$2.62
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3600.077$1.55$5.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.6200.000$0.00$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00$4.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$4.75
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$7.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.81999998$4.09
09-08 14:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.269999993$5.00
09-08 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.7299999861$5.77
09-08 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.5399999432$3.42
09-08 13:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.7799999806$4.83
09-08 12:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.7099999606$3.60
09-08 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.3399999969$4.34
09-08 12:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.9399999942$6.43
09-08 12:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.8899999897$5.19
09-08 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.92$5.50
09-08 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.6099999639$4.23
09-08 10:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.87$4.34
09-08 09:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.8099999668$4.15
09-08 09:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.75$3.99
09-08 09:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.32$5.78