0xf019Ba59648F65bF85ACe387Da55264fCEAe6ba3-1769278794771
0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3
- Realised P&L
- $369.50
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 680
- Open portfolio
- $854.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded680
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.50at 0.215Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$75.69at 0.564Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
- +$60.49at 0.220Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$50.40at 0.220Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$49.50at 0.774Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.81999998 | $4.09 |
| 09-08 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999861 | $5.77 |
| 09-08 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999432 | $3.42 |
| 09-08 13:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999806 | $4.83 |
| 09-08 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999606 | $3.60 |
| 09-08 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999969 | $4.34 |
| 09-08 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999942 | $6.43 |
| 09-08 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999897 | $5.19 |
| 09-08 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.50 |
| 09-08 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999639 | $4.23 |
| 09-08 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $4.34 |
| 09-08 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999668 | $4.15 |
| 09-08 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.99 |
| 09-08 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.78 |