0xf019Ba59648F65bF85ACe387Da55264fCEAe6ba3-1769278794771
0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3
- Realised P&L
- $157.56
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $713.35
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$49.50at 0.774Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 01:27 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.64 |
| 07-29 16:36 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $32.15 |
| 07-27 05:00 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 00:30 | Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 16:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-15 22:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $12.69 |
| 07-14 20:05 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 07-09 23:02 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 07-08 09:05 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $29.79 |
| 07-05 21:53 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-02 00:09 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 06-15 04:02 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 06-09 14:41 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 05-17 03:07 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 05-13 02:32 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |