PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf019Ba59648F65bF85ACe387Da55264fCEAe6ba3-1769278794771

0xf019ba59648f65bf85ace387da55264fceae6ba3

Realised P&L
$157.56
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$713.35

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5000.465$274.17$20.74
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.3660.295$208.99$50.37
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.895$89.50+$4.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0800.135$40.50+$16.50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3200.215$21.50$10.50
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6500.645$19.35$0.15
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1930.065$17.55$34.45
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.1400.155$15.50+$1.50
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.2850.055$11.00$46.00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3600.295$5.90$1.30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.077$3.88$5.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0970.055$2.48$1.87
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$7.70
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 01:27Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.29$4.64
07-29 16:36Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?SELL0.26$32.15
07-27 05:00Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?BUY0.95$5.00
07-27 00:30Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?BUY0.95$5.00
07-23 16:44Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.36$7.20
07-15 22:42Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.39$12.69
07-14 20:05Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.42$42.00
07-09 23:02Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.58$11.60
07-08 09:05GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?SELL0.993$29.79
07-05 21:53Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.99$49.50
07-02 00:09Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?BUY0.55$11.00
06-15 04:02UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$10.20
06-09 14:41Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.22$4.40
05-17 03:07Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.999$54.95
05-13 02:32Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.15$3.00