Bagatata
0xf0002c6c9db77b4bfbf7198c4ba25fee326732f1
- Realised P&L
- $-101.46
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 475
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded475
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.81at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$25.25at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$25.25at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$25.25at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$24.24at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.95 |
| 09-20 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:22 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |