Archeroon
0xeff9837de49ff99f1a2e5f7fa03e27a07b3c05fd
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $3.53M
- Markets traded
- 598
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded598
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.620 | $1.1k | −$234.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$859.99 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$415.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.258Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$7.7kat 0.445US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$4.2kat 0.271Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$4.0kat 0.342Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?
- +$3.6kat 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9023026423 | $1.3k |
| 08-28 22:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1096608678 | $5.0k |
| 08-23 15:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0484738413 | $1000.00 |
| 08-23 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1406071455 | $157.00 |
| 08-23 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1449443857 | $26.06 |
| 08-23 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1382513963 | $500.00 |
| 08-23 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0584326569 | $307.00 |
| 08-21 21:28 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.1959999991 | $150.00 |
| 08-21 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9617277433 | $9.0k |
| 08-21 04:58 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.48 |
| 08-21 03:52 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.001 | $14.52 |
| 08-19 13:26 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $58.12 |
| 08-16 18:36 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $11.00 |
| 08-16 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2252836346 | $746.28 |
| 08-16 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1342744926 | $1.5k |