Archeroon
0xeff9837de49ff99f1a2e5f7fa03e27a07b3c05fd
- Realised P&L
- $17.6k
- Volume
- $3.76M
- Markets traded
- 658
- Open portfolio
- $328.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded658
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US imports Russian diesel by November 15? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.400 | $301.55 | +$60.31 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 2? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.006 | $26.84 | −$172.84 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$660.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.6kat 0.258Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.177Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$7.7kat 0.445US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
- +$7.5kat 0.252Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.111Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:49 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 06:22 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.0949999999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 06:22 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.1014680067 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 06:21 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.0687600988 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 00:16 | US imports Russian diesel by November 2? | BUY | 0.0356084906 | $32.63 |
| 10-31 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0799907049 | $324.44 |
| 10-31 03:40 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.160473945 | $335.56 |
| 10-30 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0630014515 | $390.64 |
| 10-28 19:03 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.054 | $5.67 |
| 10-28 19:03 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.053 | $5.56 |
| 10-27 19:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.17871002 | $750.00 |
| 10-26 20:50 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.055 | $73.34 |
| 10-23 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $98.23 |
| 10-23 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.8k |
| 10-23 01:39 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.345849799 | $10.00 |