petersstacy
0xeff6a5318129e62d8505d57cf1b27de00877356e
- Realised P&L
- $-40.67
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $12.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A · NIP | 0.670 | 0.675 | $12.39 | +$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · No | 0.580 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$14.06 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Packers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.56at 0.320Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$5.04at 0.999Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?
- +$5.01at 0.540Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$0.73at 0.963Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
- +$0.38at 0.984Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:49 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.84 |
| 01-30 15:44 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.01 |
| 01-30 15:30 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.14 |
| 01-30 14:49 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.47 |
| 01-30 13:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998999972 | $32.07 |
| 12-30 01:29 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.20 |
| 12-30 01:09 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.74 |
| 12-29 23:56 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.90 |
| 12-29 19:44 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9929999825 | $41.59 |
| 10-30 21:46 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.68 |
| 10-30 21:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.78 |
| 10-30 18:58 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.91 |
| 09-29 17:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.9989999301 | $12.14 |
| 09-29 09:10 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.39 |
| 09-29 01:40 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.57 |