nedplimpton
0xeff6154ed56147544b72ac344eef816981c880e1
- Realised P&L
- $-431.14
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $23.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.23at 0.156European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$22.94at 0.179Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$12.24at 0.102Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.74at 0.513Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$3.69at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 22:11 | Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 22:05 | Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0865261238 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 22:04 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.11 |
| 03-15 22:03 | Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0087185478 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 22:02 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.70 |
| 03-15 22:02 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.79 |
| 03-15 22:01 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0369999804 | $1.79 |
| 03-15 22:00 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.037 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 21:59 | Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 21:57 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.87 |
| 03-15 21:54 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.039556962 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 20:58 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3714564859 | $10.00 |
| 03-12 20:58 | Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0817735462 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 20:57 | Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0303240866 | $10.00 |
| 03-02 10:50 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.3515635585 | $17.23 |