Userjfdhferuh
0xeff496db69f741535b51aecf3fa84670c430f43b
- Realised P&L
- $-26.28
- Volume
- $523.21
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.270 | $1.07 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.560Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?
- +$0.18at 0.260Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.10at 0.593Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.20at 0.800Israel Election: Joint List Effectively Banned?
- +$-0.29at 0.110Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:08 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.86 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.67337 | $13.47 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.5682420229 | $9.44 |
| 09-24 00:08 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.325295 | $13.01 |
| 09-23 20:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.582 | $2.91 |
| 09-23 20:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.583 | $2.92 |