0xeFF265a6a34B2e138C04ec13D4885e46bc7c6E32-1767201738379
0xeff265a6a34b2e138c04ec13d4885e46bc7c6e32
- Realised P&L
- $-14.75
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $14.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.382 | $11.42 | +$9.42 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 3? · No | 0.180 | 0.435 | $2.42 | +$1.42 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 3? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.028 | $0.36 | −$1.64 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.52at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down on March 28?
- +$4.95at 0.668Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 26?
- +$4.35at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$3.20at 0.479Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 22?
- +$2.89at 0.510Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0589999984 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.299 | $2.12 |
| 10-02 13:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.41 |
| 10-02 04:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.51 |
| 10-02 04:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.4929999639 | $3.50 |
| 10-02 04:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 04:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | SELL | 0.4776954103 | $6.87 |
| 10-01 21:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.279999986 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 21:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.1389999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |