PolyBot

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Traders

Mugatu-eth

0xeff07c97c491e11e6ab7a6f4520e61f8fa5c1210

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$1.36M
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.033$5.8k+$443.26
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? · No0.0710.000$0.00$1.2k
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$755.57
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.3620.000$0.00$299.45
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$315.72
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$718.49
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4810.000$0.00$4.2k
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$605.90
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? · No0.0200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 03:18Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0342312037$27.15
07-29 03:17Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0329773345$2.9k
07-22 04:30Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.4807655791$4.2k
07-10 05:15Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999885$4.60
07-09 21:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.059$713.90
07-09 13:29Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999999$483.14
07-09 13:07Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999998$122.78
06-04 18:24Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.357723288$315.72
06-03 14:19MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.005$338.13
06-03 03:38MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$70.50
06-03 03:37MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.004$200.00
04-08 20:52Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.363726473$300.52
04-08 09:38Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0588357359$300.51
04-02 00:54Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1820266307$220.65
04-02 00:41Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?SELL0.1638131984$212.71