PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xefEa2798217690398409F663357F3a1bac8E9f70-1774274953578

0xefea2798217690398409f663357f3a1bac8e9f70

Realised P&L
$-54.43
Volume
$24.3k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$32.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.9060.900$26.99$0.18
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1270.130$3.90+$0.10
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1000.100$1.00+$0.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.055$0.55$2.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi · Tommy Paul0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik · Alexander Bublik0.6700.000$0.00$3.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20? · Down0.5450.000$0.00$10.90
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19? · Up0.3700.000$0.00$3.70
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-10? · Yes0.4450.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.50
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:04S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20?BUY0.59$5.90
07-19 20:03WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 20?BUY0.78$7.80
07-13 05:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?SELL0.958$9.58
07-13 05:01S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?SELL0.91$18.20
07-12 21:26S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13?BUY0.67$6.70
07-12 21:26WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 13?BUY0.86$8.60
06-22 07:58WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?SELL0.44$8.80
06-22 06:52WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?SELL0.48$9.60
06-22 06:46WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.5$5.00
06-21 20:35Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?SELL0.99$9.90
06-21 20:35S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?BUY0.69$6.90
06-21 20:33Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.12$1.20
06-17 18:09WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?SELL0.44$4.40
06-17 17:39S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 17?SELL0.999$9.99
06-17 07:12WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?SELL0.82$4.10