gulftown
0xefe8af61e75cf922ac3ca7cca2d777ef41b5e0f2
- Realised P&L
- $-273.90
- Volume
- $182.8k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.430 | 0.385 | $548.63 | −$64.12 |
| Will Martin Winkler win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $537.95 | +$3.74 |
| Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? · No | 0.417 | 0.595 | $411.74 | +$122.84 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $341.01 | +$4.21 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Czechia | 0.490 | 0.405 | $253.53 | −$53.21 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.026 | $15.13 | −$60.20 |
| Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? · No | 0.710 | 0.780 | $3.90 | +$0.35 |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.949 | 0.950 | $3.50 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.626Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$1.2kat 0.286National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic
- +$1.1kat 0.123Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.582Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.584Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:32 | Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4174878613 | $288.90 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Will Martin Winkler win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9948421053 | $378.04 |
| 09-28 08:56 | Will Martin Winkler win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.980373823 | $156.17 |
| 09-27 15:09 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.5259300752 | $349.74 |
| 09-27 08:53 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.41 | $92.07 |
| 09-25 09:46 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7819423179 | $1.2k |
| 09-23 07:17 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? | BUY | 0.4 | $336.80 |
| 09-14 07:23 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.43 | $612.75 |
| 09-13 12:35 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.42 | $21.17 |
| 09-09 08:52 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.79 | $639.11 |
| 09-09 07:49 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.5491964286 | $246.04 |
| 09-09 07:26 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.5456949301 | $249.71 |
| 09-05 08:03 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.55 | $607.29 |
| 09-03 08:02 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.6 | $784.80 |
| 08-26 13:19 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $514.90 |