PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeFE4fa17558d50b963af1a3e5E4CbF3378f32958-1768117662251

0xefe4fa17558d50b963af1a3e5e4cbf3378f32958

Realised P&L
$-43.05
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$15.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5040.536$10.64+$0.64
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.5400.890$1.65+$0.65
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.8900.110$1.24−$8.76
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.8600.979$1.14+$0.14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8400.735$0.87−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:11Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-13 17:10Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.8899999941$9.00
10-13 17:08Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-13 07:30Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.859999914$1.00
10-13 04:35Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.95$10.00
10-12 16:56Catania: Francesco Forti vs Zdenek KolarBUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-12 03:52Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?BUY0.8$2.00
10-12 03:30Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-12 03:22Bulls vs. NuggetsBUY0.759999696$1.00
10-11 07:32Eagles vs. JaguarsBUY0.77$2.00
10-11 07:19Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
10-11 07:18Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-11 07:14Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $150B?BUY0.8$2.00
10-11 06:51Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Caty McNallyBUY0.97$1.00
10-11 06:50Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Katie VolynetsBUY0.6199998512$1.00