0xeFE4fa17558d50b963af1a3e5E4CbF3378f32958-1768117662251
0xefe4fa17558d50b963af1a3e5e4cbf3378f32958
- Realised P&L
- $-43.05
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 203
- Open portfolio
- $15.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded203
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.504 | 0.536 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No | 0.540 | 0.890 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.110 | $1.24 | −$8.76 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.979 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.735 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.83at 0.483Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- +$11.26at 0.470Adelaide International: Daniel Altmaier vs Jaume Munar
- +$5.80at 0.940Hornets vs. Warriors
- +$5.42at 0.480Adelaide International: Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovics
- +$5.06at 0.525Hawks vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:11 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 17:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999941 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 17:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 07:30 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 04:35 | Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $155 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 16:56 | Catania: Francesco Forti vs Zdenek Kolar | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:52 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 03:30 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 6-12? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 03:22 | Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:32 | Eagles vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 07:19 | Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:18 | Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 07:14 | Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $150B? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 06:51 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Caty McNally | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:50 | Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Camila Osorio vs Katie Volynets | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |