PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeFE498956425F6AA6Ebc65C10c845336830Dd4fd-1733223639318

0xefe498956425f6aa6ebc65c10c845336830dd4fd

Realised P&L
$72.02
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$106.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? · No0.9970.995$26.85$0.05
Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9951.000$25.11+$0.11
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes0.9980.979$21.57$0.43
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9980.998$19.99$0.01
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9930.999$13.01+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 06:24Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20?BUY0.9969999937$26.90
09-12 07:31Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9939999945$32.30
09-06 19:50Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?BUY0.996$31.30
09-02 16:43Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.998$22.00
08-29 08:40Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more?BUY0.998$22.00
08-27 06:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.9959999557$22.10
08-24 11:20Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.9979999688$25.50
08-23 20:10Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.9979999709$27.00
08-21 19:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 23?BUY0.9959999783$41.90
08-21 03:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 21?BUY0.996$28.00
08-16 21:05Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.998$26.00
08-12 19:23Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.998$24.10
08-12 05:27Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.995$37.50
08-07 03:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8?BUY0.998$21.00
08-01 02:24Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 31?BUY0.998$11.00