0xeFE498956425F6AA6Ebc65C10c845336830Dd4fd-1733223639318
0xefe498956425f6aa6ebc65c10c845336830dd4fd
- Realised P&L
- $72.02
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $106.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $26.85 | −$0.05 |
| Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No | 0.995 | 1.000 | $25.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.979 | $21.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $19.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.993 | 0.999 | $13.01 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.09at 0.440Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$28.66at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?
- +$26.87at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 22?
- +$21.06at 0.749Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19?
- +$16.49at 0.749Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9969999937 | $26.90 |
| 09-12 07:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9939999945 | $32.30 |
| 09-06 19:50 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $31.30 |
| 09-02 16:43 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 08-29 08:40 | Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be 44 or more? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.00 |
| 08-27 06:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999557 | $22.10 |
| 08-24 11:20 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999688 | $25.50 |
| 08-23 20:10 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999709 | $27.00 |
| 08-21 19:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.9959999783 | $41.90 |
| 08-21 03:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $28.00 |
| 08-16 21:05 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.00 |
| 08-12 19:23 | Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.10 |
| 08-12 05:27 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $37.50 |
| 08-07 03:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 08-01 02:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |