0xefe0ab7ae02eef894e49d222c0128978227fe5e9
0xefe0ab7ae02eef894e49d222c0128978227fe5e9
- Realised P&L
- $10.88
- Volume
- $245.54
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $10.44
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.560 | $2.55 | +$1.55 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.865 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.875 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B? · No | 0.670 | 0.760 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · No | 0.380 | 0.385 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.455 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.450 | 0.275 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.075 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.035 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.85at 0.260Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.351Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:38 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 10:38 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 02:38 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:38 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 08:33 | Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:15 | Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.95B? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:56 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:59 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 01:13 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |