Ldmekaoh
0xefddcc31244d959b06e8e9c506b1921114a4a6b4
- Realised P&L
- $-20.52
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $6.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $6.77 | −$0.01 |
| Cavaliers vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.970Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$0.42at 0.910Nets vs. Celtics
- +$0.03at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 23?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 14?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 02:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9949999053 | $6.78 |
| 07-11 08:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9989999206 | $6.48 |
| 06-15 07:56 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.78 |
| 06-15 07:52 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $8.59 |
| 05-25 07:00 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $8.60 |
| 04-22 07:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.46 |
| 04-14 06:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 14? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.64 |
| 03-14 05:16 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.25 |
| 03-03 01:38 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.25 |
| 02-27 07:48 | Nets vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.9099999936 | $4.24 |
| 01-19 03:56 | Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.46 |
| 01-17 09:45 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $371.10 |
| 01-17 07:36 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $371.48 |
| 01-17 07:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? | SELL | 0.997 | $315.09 |
| 01-17 05:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in January? | BUY | 0.9979999974 | $315.41 |